AIster · The agentic age · Culture

Forecasters publish AI 2027, a scenario of superhuman AI

A month-by-month forecast of superhuman AI that became a reference point for debate

Key facts

Date
3 Apr 2025
Era
The agentic age
Interest
Culture
Threads
Safety & governance
Authors
Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland, Dean
Format
Branching scenario with race and slowdown endings

On 3 April 2025 Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland and Romeo Dean published AI 2027, a detailed scenario of AI progress to the end of 2027. It opens by predicting that superhuman AI will have an impact “exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution” and offers two endings, a race and a slowdown.

Sources

  1. AI Futures Project, AI 2027, 2025-04-03